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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    #1
    +2494
    (63%)
    80-46 in Last 126 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Duren
    Under 20.5
    -115
    PTS + REB
    Picked: May 14 @ 10:50am

    Analysis

    In a pivotal Game 5, JB Bickerstaff benched Jalen Duren for the entire fourth quarter and overtime. Duren's minutes this series have gone like this: 35, 33, 29, 27, 25. Paul Reed and Isaiah Stewart played well in Game 5, posting a combined plus-12 in 28 minutes, while Duren was minus-16 in 25 minutes. In the two games in Cleveland, Duren recorded 15 and 10 combined points and rebounds. He could have a double-double Friday and still fall below this prop total.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    +75
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NBA Picks
    DET +4
    -111
    Spread
    Picked: May 14 @ 3:29pm

    Analysis

    Detroit is built for the high pressure environment of a road elimination game. Their defensive identity consistently travels, allowing them to remain competitive even when shots are not falling. Although the market favors Cleveland at home, the Cavaliers have underperformed in this role, posting a disappointing record of 16-25 against the spread at Rocket Arena. Conversely, Detroit excels as an underdog, going 14-6 ATS in this season. Teams coming off a galvanizing close loss in this round cover the spread nearly 72% of the time in the next game. I like the road dog at this spot.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +560.5
    (58%)
    23-17-2 in Last 42 NBA Picks
    CLE
    -169
    Money Line
    Picked: May 14 @ 10:12pm

    Analysis

    Thought the Cavs had a better roster than the Pistons anyways and now they have a chance to finish at home. Ideally, James Harden calls in sick (Beard not a great track record in elimination games), but Cleveland has been dominant at home for months. Detroit is terrible at 3-point shooting anyways and without Duncan Robinson even worse. He missed Game 5 and iffy for Game 6. I'm not sure it matters because while D-Rob can shoot, he's a massive defensive liability. Basically me. The Pistons need to get Giannis this offseason. Then they'd be fun.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    #1
    +2494
    (63%)
    80-46 in Last 126 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    P. Reed
    Over 8.5
    -122
    PTS + REB
    Picked: May 14 @ 10:50pm

    Analysis

    Paul Reed has gotten 10 or more minutes in four playoff games. Each time, he has produced at least 12 combined points and rebounds. In fact, he has cleared this prop total in 13 of the last 14 games in which he received 10-plus minutes. It's hard to figure out JB Bickerstaff's rotation patterns, but I'm betting he gives Reed significant minutes Friday after he played him for the entire fourth quarter and overtime Wednesday. Bickerstaff calls Reed "a run-stopper," meaning he can end Cavs' runs. At home, Cleveland is likely to rip off a few spurts, requiring Bickerstaff to call on Reed.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +774
    (69%)
    40-18-1 in Last 59 MLB Picks
    TB +1.5
    -189
    Spread
    Picked: May 14 @ 11:19pm

    Analysis

    I see how high this is and I'm paying a ton for insurance, but I don't really understand why +1.5 is being offered to me. Pitchers: Janson Junk vs. Jesse Scholtens. Yeah, OK. The Rays are the way better team, rolling for the most part and were off Thursday. Feels like they should be -130ish. The Marlins, well, are none of those things. I'd like to say this is a heated rivalry but that sorta thing does not exist in Florida outside of college football. #wideright

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