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Today's Top Free Expert Picks
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Jeff Hochman#3+474(80%)4-1-1 in Last 6 MLB PicksPicked: Jun 28 @ 11:27pmAnalysis
Braxton Ashcraft is enjoying a true breakout season, anchored by a stellar 3.07 ERA and 2.84 FIP. Since May 1, he has shown noticeable gain in both his raw stuff and command, with his Stuff+ climbing to 107 and Location+ reaching an elite 108. In contrast, Aaron Nola has struggled mightily, posting a 5.58 ERA and 1.45 WHIP—numbers that reflect his declining pitch quality. Nola’s fastball now ranks among the league’s worst, with a -13 run value that places him in the bottom 1st percentile, and his Location+ on the four-seamer has dropped to 91. Meanwhile, the Pirates lead the majors in hits and are second in batting average. The Phillies swept a three game series in Pittsburgh last month. Payback. -
Matt Severance#1+1444.5(67%)86-42 in Last 128 MLB ML PicksPicked: Jun 28 @ 9:03pmAnalysis
Generous price in my opinion -- I'd argue it should be around -160. Not that Arizona is all that great, and it enters being swept three at Tampa Bay. But pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez is having an All-Star-caliber season and especially has been good at home (4-1, 1.84 ERA). Start of a trip for the Giants, who are 17-26 away. And they are 0-6 in the season series vs. the Snakes. Tyler Mahle (1-7, 5.49 ERA) has not been good. -
Larry Hartstein+286(80%)4-1 in Last 5 MLB PicksPicked: Jun 28 @ 10:48pmAnalysis
The Diamondbacks scored a total of four runs in getting swept at Tampa Bay. Then they had to fly cross-country. But I love this bounceback spot at home against the Giants and Tyler Mahle. Arizona faced Mahle twice in late May, hammering him for two homers and nine earned runs in 10 innings. Mahle is coming off a sterling outing vs. the Athletics, but that was at home. On the road he's 0-4 with an 8.88 ERA. The D-Backs have won 12 of ace Eduardo Rodriguez's last 14 starts. -
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